Measurable residual disease (MRD) is a strong but imprecise predictor of relapse in acute myeloid leukemia. Many patients fall into the outlier categories of MRD positivity without relapse or MRD negativity with relapse. Why? We will discuss these states in the context of “clonal ontogeny” examining how mutations, clonal structure, and Darwinian rules impact response, resistance, and relapse.

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