Table 5.

Proximal CUS sensitivity and specificity in a low-prevalence population

Test resultNo. of results per 1000 patients tested (95% CI)No. of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)
Prevalence 5%* in patients with suspected PE
True positives 25 (16-33) 1715 (7) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW§ 
False negatives 25 (17-34) 
True negatives 912 (903-931) 1715 (7) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW§ 
False positives 38 (19-47) 
Inconclusive test results 1715 (7) — 
Complications arising from the diagnostic test Not reported 
Test resultNo. of results per 1000 patients tested (95% CI)No. of participants (studies)Certainty of the evidence (GRADE)
Prevalence 5%* in patients with suspected PE
True positives 25 (16-33) 1715 (7) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW§ 
False negatives 25 (17-34) 
True negatives 912 (903-931) 1715 (7) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW§ 
False positives 38 (19-47) 
Inconclusive test results 1715 (7) — 
Complications arising from the diagnostic test Not reported 

Patient or population: patients with suspected PE. Setting: inpatient and outpatient. Pooled sensitivity: 0.49 (95% CI, 0.31-0.66). Pooled specificity: 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.98). An interactive summary of findings is available at: https://gdt.gradepro.org/presentations/#/isof/isof_4b33e40d-b17a-4359-964b-51aca44d75e4-1569994797123?_k=cykq2y.

*

Pooled prevalence of PE with low PTP in North American studies 6.5% (5% used in table).18 

Disease prevalence applies to the index test in each pathway. Prevalence applied to the accuracy of each subsequent test depends on the result of the previous test in the pathway.

Certainty of evidence not downgraded for risk of bias, although few studies had a combination of reference standards that were judged to be acceptable by a panel of clinical experts.

§

Certainty of evidence was downgraded for serious unexplained inconsistency in sensitivity, with a range from 18.4% to 96.7%. There was inconsistency also noted for specificity, but it was judged as not serious and we did not to downgrade the certainty of evidence.

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