Table 5.

Rates of thromboembolism associated with different indications for oral anticoagulation and risk reduction with anticoagulation.

IndicationRate of Thromboembolism Without AnticoagulationRisk Reduction (%)
Reproduced, with minor modifications, from Kearon and Hirsh1  
* An increase in the risk of venous thromboembolism associated with surgery (estimated to be 100-fold) is not included in these rates. 
Last episode of venous thromboembolism more than 3 months previously, but require long-term anticoagulation because of high risk of recurrence. 
Risk reduction with oral anticoagulation; risk reduction with bridging therapy is uncertain but expected to be less (see discussion) 
Abbreviations: NVAF, non-valvular atrial fibrillation 
Venous Thromboembolism 
    Acute venous thromboembolism 
        0–1 month 40%/month* 80 
        1–3 months 10%/2 months* 90 
    Recurrent venous thromboembolism 15%/year* 90 
Arterial Thromboembolism 
    NVAF 4.5%/year 75 
    NVAF and previous embolism 12%/year 75 
    Mechanical heart valve 8%/year 75 
    Acute arterial embolism 
        0–1 month 15%/month 75 
IndicationRate of Thromboembolism Without AnticoagulationRisk Reduction (%)
Reproduced, with minor modifications, from Kearon and Hirsh1  
* An increase in the risk of venous thromboembolism associated with surgery (estimated to be 100-fold) is not included in these rates. 
Last episode of venous thromboembolism more than 3 months previously, but require long-term anticoagulation because of high risk of recurrence. 
Risk reduction with oral anticoagulation; risk reduction with bridging therapy is uncertain but expected to be less (see discussion) 
Abbreviations: NVAF, non-valvular atrial fibrillation 
Venous Thromboembolism 
    Acute venous thromboembolism 
        0–1 month 40%/month* 80 
        1–3 months 10%/2 months* 90 
    Recurrent venous thromboembolism 15%/year* 90 
Arterial Thromboembolism 
    NVAF 4.5%/year 75 
    NVAF and previous embolism 12%/year 75 
    Mechanical heart valve 8%/year 75 
    Acute arterial embolism 
        0–1 month 15%/month 75 

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