Table 2.

Indexes of efficacy of the prediction rule in relation to various Zs scores selected as cutoff values



Derivation group, n = 826*

Validation group, n = 654*

Total, n = 1480*
Zs cutoff value
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
-2   100.0   47.7   10.1   100.0   98.1   36.8   12.0   99.5   99.0   42.9   11.1   99.8  
0   97.8   51.5   10.6   99.8   98.1   40.3   12.7   99.6   98.0   46.6   11.6   99.7  
1   97.8   59.9   12.6   99.8   94.3   52.7   15.0   99.1   96.0   56.8   13.7   99.5  
2
 
93.5
 
62.6
 
12.8
 
99.4
 
88.7
 
56.9
 
15.4
 
98.3
 
90.9
 
60.1
 
14.0
 
99.2
 


Derivation group, n = 826*

Validation group, n = 654*

Total, n = 1480*
Zs cutoff value
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
Sens, %
Spec, %
PPV, %
NPV, %
-2   100.0   47.7   10.1   100.0   98.1   36.8   12.0   99.5   99.0   42.9   11.1   99.8  
0   97.8   51.5   10.6   99.8   98.1   40.3   12.7   99.6   98.0   46.6   11.6   99.7  
1   97.8   59.9   12.6   99.8   94.3   52.7   15.0   99.1   96.0   56.8   13.7   99.5  
2
 
93.5
 
62.6
 
12.8
 
99.4
 
88.7
 
56.9
 
15.4
 
98.3
 
90.9
 
60.1
 
14.0
 
99.2
 

Sens indicates sensitivity; spec, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.

*

Only patients with complete data for all predictive variables were included.

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