Table 6.

Multivariate analyses of factors affecting TRM at day 90 and day 365




Relative risk estimate (95% CI)

Step

P
Day 90    
    More than 5 apoptotic cells within the infiltrate   12.1 (4.1-35.7)   1   < .0001  
    Acute GvHD of the liver, stage II or higher   4.7 (1.8-12.3)   2   < .0001  
Day 365    
    More than 5 apoptotic cells within the infiltrate   14.8 (5.6-39.7)   1   < .0001  
    Chronic GvHD   8.0 (3.3-19.4)   2   < .0001  
    Acute GvHD of the liver, stage II or higher
 
4.1 (2.2-7.5)
 
3
 
< .0001
 



Relative risk estimate (95% CI)

Step

P
Day 90    
    More than 5 apoptotic cells within the infiltrate   12.1 (4.1-35.7)   1   < .0001  
    Acute GvHD of the liver, stage II or higher   4.7 (1.8-12.3)   2   < .0001  
Day 365    
    More than 5 apoptotic cells within the infiltrate   14.8 (5.6-39.7)   1   < .0001  
    Chronic GvHD   8.0 (3.3-19.4)   2   < .0001  
    Acute GvHD of the liver, stage II or higher
 
4.1 (2.2-7.5)
 
3
 
< .0001
 

These models include both clinical parameters and elementary pathologic features. There was no statistical correlation between GvHD duration (and ensuing therapy with corticosteroids) with our findings of a worse prognosis for patients with the presence of more than 20 neutrophils per field or the presence of more than 5 apoptotic bodies per field within the cellular infiltrate. Indeed all but one patient with more than 20 neutrophils per field had biopsy within 3 days, as a mean, after the onset of GI symptoms. For patients who had more than 5 apoptotic bodies per field within the cellular infiltrate, all but one patient underwent biopsy within 3 days of the onset of digestive GvHD (multivariate analysis of TRM at day 90 and day 365).

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