Table 5

Univariate regression model for relapse

VariableGroupHR95% CIPGlobal P
Marrow myeloblasts*  1.02 1.01-1.03 < .0001  
Hemoglobin*  0.96 0.89-1.04 .31  
Platelet count*  0.98 0.95-1.03 .50  
Patient age*  1.10 1.02-1.19 .01  
Disease category MDS    
 tAML 2.51 1.96-3.22  < .0001 
IPSS cytogenetic risk Good  < .0001  
 Intermediate 1.10 0.75-1.62 .62  
 Poor 2.76 2.08-3.66 < .0001  
5-group cytogenetic risk Good   < .0001 
 Very good 0.82 0.20-3.34 .78  
 Intermediate 1.23 0.84-1.80 .28  
 Poor 1.74 1.21-2.51 .003  
 Very poor 6.68 4.67-9.56 < .0001  
 Data incomplete 1.72 1.15-2.55 .008  
Donor type Matched sibling   .15 
 Nonsibling relative 0.69 0.39-1.22 .20  
 URD matched 0.76 0.56-1.02 .07  
 URD mismatched 0.83 0.58-1.21 .34  
 URD unknown 0.46 0.19-1.11 .09  
Year of HCT*  1.02 1.00-1.04 .03  
Monosomal karyotype No    
 Yes 3.70 2.78-4.92 < .0001  
Secondary MDS No    
 Yes 1.27 0.95-1.68 .10  
Conditioning regimen BU + CY   .001 
 FLU + LD TBI 2.38 1.64-3.45 < .0001  
 FLU + BU 2.03 1.21-3.41 .008  
 131I + FLU + TBI 2.34 1.18-4.64 .02  
 FLU + TREO 0.39 0.10-1.59 .19  
 CY + TBI (≥ 12 Gy) (± ATG) 1.56 1.12-2.18 .009  
FAB/WHO classification RA/RARS/RCMD   < .0001 
 RAEB. 2.09 1.56-2.79 < .0001  
 RAEB-T 2.18 1.41-3.37 .0005  
 tAML 2.70 1.82-3.99 < .0001  
Etiology de novo   .002 
 Aplastic anemia 0.26 0.10-0.70 .008  
 Lymphoma 1.70 1.09-2.67 .02  
 Solid tumor 1.92 1.22-3.01 .005  
 Other leukemias 2.57 1.31-5.01 .006  
Treatment pre-HCT None   < .0001 
 IC 2.09 1.61-2.71 < .0001  
 IC + hypomethylation 0.00 0.00-**** .97  
 Hypomethylation 2.53 1.51-4.23 .0004  
VariableGroupHR95% CIPGlobal P
Marrow myeloblasts*  1.02 1.01-1.03 < .0001  
Hemoglobin*  0.96 0.89-1.04 .31  
Platelet count*  0.98 0.95-1.03 .50  
Patient age*  1.10 1.02-1.19 .01  
Disease category MDS    
 tAML 2.51 1.96-3.22  < .0001 
IPSS cytogenetic risk Good  < .0001  
 Intermediate 1.10 0.75-1.62 .62  
 Poor 2.76 2.08-3.66 < .0001  
5-group cytogenetic risk Good   < .0001 
 Very good 0.82 0.20-3.34 .78  
 Intermediate 1.23 0.84-1.80 .28  
 Poor 1.74 1.21-2.51 .003  
 Very poor 6.68 4.67-9.56 < .0001  
 Data incomplete 1.72 1.15-2.55 .008  
Donor type Matched sibling   .15 
 Nonsibling relative 0.69 0.39-1.22 .20  
 URD matched 0.76 0.56-1.02 .07  
 URD mismatched 0.83 0.58-1.21 .34  
 URD unknown 0.46 0.19-1.11 .09  
Year of HCT*  1.02 1.00-1.04 .03  
Monosomal karyotype No    
 Yes 3.70 2.78-4.92 < .0001  
Secondary MDS No    
 Yes 1.27 0.95-1.68 .10  
Conditioning regimen BU + CY   .001 
 FLU + LD TBI 2.38 1.64-3.45 < .0001  
 FLU + BU 2.03 1.21-3.41 .008  
 131I + FLU + TBI 2.34 1.18-4.64 .02  
 FLU + TREO 0.39 0.10-1.59 .19  
 CY + TBI (≥ 12 Gy) (± ATG) 1.56 1.12-2.18 .009  
FAB/WHO classification RA/RARS/RCMD   < .0001 
 RAEB. 2.09 1.56-2.79 < .0001  
 RAEB-T 2.18 1.41-3.37 .0005  
 tAML 2.70 1.82-3.99 < .0001  
Etiology de novo   .002 
 Aplastic anemia 0.26 0.10-0.70 .008  
 Lymphoma 1.70 1.09-2.67 .02  
 Solid tumor 1.92 1.22-3.01 .005  
 Other leukemias 2.57 1.31-5.01 .006  
Treatment pre-HCT None   < .0001 
 IC 2.09 1.61-2.71 < .0001  
 IC + hypomethylation 0.00 0.00-**** .97  
 Hypomethylation 2.53 1.51-4.23 .0004  

CMV status and source of stem cells had no significant impact on outcome.

URD indicates unrelated donor; and ATG, antithymocyte globulin.

*

Modeled as continuous linear variables; HR for platelet count represents increase in hazard associated with increase in platelets by 50 000; HR for age represents increase in hazard associated with increase in age by 10 years; HR for year of HCT represents increase in hazard associated with increase in year of HCT by one year; HR for hemoglobin represents increase in hazard associated with increase in hemoglobin by 1 g/dL; HR for blasts represents increase in hazard associated with increase in blasts by 1%.

Other regimens used (CY + TMI; FLU + TBI + CY; CY + BU; BU + TBI; BU + CY + TBI; other regimens) did not result in a significant differences.

Other antecedent conditions (myeloproliferative neoplasms; constitutional marrow failure syndromes; multiple myeloma; autoimmune disoders; prior solid organ transplantation or accidental radiation exposure) had no significant impact.

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