Univariate and multivariate analysis for overall survival in the CLL training series
Characteristics . | Event . | Total . | OS, y . | Univariate analysis . | Multivariate analysis*†‡ . | Internal bootstrapping validation . | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bootstrap parameter, mean . | Bootstrap selection, % . | ||||||||||||||||
Median . | LCI . | UCI . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | P . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | P . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | ||||
Age§ | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.08 | < .001 | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.10 | < .001 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.10 | 100 | |||||
Female | 29 | 139 | 13.9 | 10.8 | 17.0 | ||||||||||||
Male | 49 | 170 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 16.5 | 1.53 | .096 | 2.43 | .069 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 3.20 | .007 | 2.17 | 1.28 | 3.68 | 91.1 |
NOTCH1 germline | 62 | 275 | 13.9 | 10.5 | 17.3 | ||||||||||||
NOTCH1 mutations | 16 | 34 | 3.5 | 0 | 7.3 | 3.77 | 2.14 | 6.66 | < .001 | 3.99 | 2.05 | 7.76 | < .001 | 4.55 | 2.23 | 9.31 | 98.0 |
Rai stage 0-II | 55 | 275 | 15.6 | 13.1 | 18.7 | ||||||||||||
Rai stage III-IV | 23 | 34 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 3.99 | 2.44 | 6.50 | < .001 | 2.33 | 1.25 | 3.99 | .007 | 2.57 | 1.38 | 4.82 | 90.0 |
IGHV identity < 98% | 42 | 206 | NR | ||||||||||||||
IGHV identity ≥ 98% | 36 | 103 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 17.2 | 2.23 | 1.42 | 3.52 | .001 | 1.44 | 0.83 | 2.50 | .191 | 1.53 | 0.86 | 2.71 | 50.4 |
No trisomy 12 | 52 | 248 | NR | ||||||||||||||
Trisomy 12 | 26 | 61 | 10.8 | 5.5 | 16.0 | 1.93 | 1.21 | 3.01 | .006 | 1.50 | 0.91 | 2.64 | .108 | 1.62 | 0.96 | 2.74 | 55.4 |
No 11q22-q23 deletion | 65 | 284 | 15.6 | 13.3 | 17.9 | ||||||||||||
11q22-q23 deletion | 13 | 25 | 6.8 | 0 | 14.1 | 2.25 | 1.23 | 4.11 | .008 | 1.57 | 0.76 | 3.27 | .220 | 1.77 | 0.81 | 3.90 | 47.4 |
TP53 germline | 61 | 276 | 13.9 | 10.5 | 17.3 | ||||||||||||
TP53 disruption | 17 | 33 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 3.74 | 2.16 | 6.49 | < .001 | 3.27 | 1.80 | 5.95 | < .001 | 3.38 | 1.78 | 6.43 | 96.5 |
Characteristics . | Event . | Total . | OS, y . | Univariate analysis . | Multivariate analysis*†‡ . | Internal bootstrapping validation . | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bootstrap parameter, mean . | Bootstrap selection, % . | ||||||||||||||||
Median . | LCI . | UCI . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | P . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | P . | HR . | LCI . | UCI . | ||||
Age§ | 1.06 | 1.03 | 1.08 | < .001 | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.10 | < .001 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.10 | 100 | |||||
Female | 29 | 139 | 13.9 | 10.8 | 17.0 | ||||||||||||
Male | 49 | 170 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 16.5 | 1.53 | .096 | 2.43 | .069 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 3.20 | .007 | 2.17 | 1.28 | 3.68 | 91.1 |
NOTCH1 germline | 62 | 275 | 13.9 | 10.5 | 17.3 | ||||||||||||
NOTCH1 mutations | 16 | 34 | 3.5 | 0 | 7.3 | 3.77 | 2.14 | 6.66 | < .001 | 3.99 | 2.05 | 7.76 | < .001 | 4.55 | 2.23 | 9.31 | 98.0 |
Rai stage 0-II | 55 | 275 | 15.6 | 13.1 | 18.7 | ||||||||||||
Rai stage III-IV | 23 | 34 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 3.99 | 2.44 | 6.50 | < .001 | 2.33 | 1.25 | 3.99 | .007 | 2.57 | 1.38 | 4.82 | 90.0 |
IGHV identity < 98% | 42 | 206 | NR | ||||||||||||||
IGHV identity ≥ 98% | 36 | 103 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 17.2 | 2.23 | 1.42 | 3.52 | .001 | 1.44 | 0.83 | 2.50 | .191 | 1.53 | 0.86 | 2.71 | 50.4 |
No trisomy 12 | 52 | 248 | NR | ||||||||||||||
Trisomy 12 | 26 | 61 | 10.8 | 5.5 | 16.0 | 1.93 | 1.21 | 3.01 | .006 | 1.50 | 0.91 | 2.64 | .108 | 1.62 | 0.96 | 2.74 | 55.4 |
No 11q22-q23 deletion | 65 | 284 | 15.6 | 13.3 | 17.9 | ||||||||||||
11q22-q23 deletion | 13 | 25 | 6.8 | 0 | 14.1 | 2.25 | 1.23 | 4.11 | .008 | 1.57 | 0.76 | 3.27 | .220 | 1.77 | 0.81 | 3.90 | 47.4 |
TP53 germline | 61 | 276 | 13.9 | 10.5 | 17.3 | ||||||||||||
TP53 disruption | 17 | 33 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 3.74 | 2.16 | 6.49 | < .001 | 3.27 | 1.80 | 5.95 | < .001 | 3.38 | 1.78 | 6.43 | 96.5 |
LCI indicates 95% lower confidence interval; UCI, 95% upper confidence interval; and NR, not reached.
Shrinkage coefficient, 0.91.
Discrimination: c-index of the original model, 0.792; bias-corrected c-index, 0.015; and optimism, 0.777.
Calibration: calibration slope of the original model, 1.000; bias-corrected calibration slope, 0.910; and optimism, 0.090.
Age was treated as a continuous variable.