Table 3

Five-year probabilities of survival, PFS, and probability of achieving CCyR according to the different constituents of the definitions of failure, suboptimal response, and warning

N*Survival, %PFS, %Probability of CCyR, %
At diagnosis     
    Sokal risk group  P = .02 P = .02 P = .0004 
        Low and intermediate 156 93.5 (CI, 88.4-96.4) 91.3 (CI, 87.9-93.8) 84.0 (CI, 80.2-87.2) 
        High 68 72.4 (CI, 50.5-87.1) 69.6 (CI, 61.3-76.8) 61.8 (CI, 55.8-67.5) 
    Karyotype  P = .03 P = .003 P = .37 
        Ph chromosome only 209 88.4 (CI, 81.2-93.1) 85.4 (CI, 81.0-88.9) 77.4 (CI, 74.3-80.2) 
        ACAs in Ph+ cells 15 42.9 (CI, 14.8-76.5) 35.7 (CI, 13.4-66.6) 71.4 (CI, 54.1-84.1) 
3 months     
    Lack of hematologic response  P = .003 P = .002 P = .0003 
        Yes 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) 
        No 216 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1 
    Lack of CHR  P = .003 P = .002 P = .0003 
        Yes 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) 
        No 216 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1) 
6 months     
    CHR  P = .0001 P = .0002 P = .0001 
        Yes 210 95.1 (CI, 89.5-97.8) 86.7 (CI, 83.3-89.5) 82.4 (CI, 80.1-84.5) 
        No 59.6 (CI, 38.2-77.8) 49.4 (CI, 31.2-67.7) 
    Cytogenetic response (≤95 % Ph+ P = .04 P = .007 P < .0001 
        Yes 185 94.9 (CI, 92.3-96.7) 87.1 (CI, 85.0-88.9) 90.3 (CI, 82.8-94.7) 
        No 34 84.6 (CI, 72.5-92.0) 72.8 (CI, 64.4-79.9) 17.6 (CI, 15.0-20.5) 
    MCyR (≤35% Ph+ P = .09 P = .0007 P < .0001 
        Yes 157 93.2 (CI, 83.7-97.3) 91.5 (CI, 88.1-94.0) 95.5 (CI, 93.9-96.7) 
        No 62 74.2 (CI, 58.8-85.3) 70.4 (CI, 62.1-77.6) 37.1 (CI, 31.4-43.1) 
12 months     
    MCyR (≤35% Ph+ P = .1 P = .003 P < .0001 
        Yes 169 95.1 (CI, 90.6-97.5) 90.0 (CI, 86.9-92.4) 95.3 (CI, 94.2-96.2) 
        No 46 86.7 (CI, 75.5-93.2) 76.3 (CI, 67.7-83.2) 23.9 (CI, 20.2-28.0) 
    CCyR (0% Ph+ P = .009 P = .0006 P < .0001 
        Yes 127 98.4 (CI, 95.9-99.4) 96.2 (CI, 94.3-97.5) 100 
        No 88 86.0(CI, 79.1-90.9) 74.4 (CI, 70.3-78.1) 48.2 (CI, 42.4-54.1) 
    MMR  P = .8 P = .3  
        Yes 32 96.4 (CI, 85.2-99.2) 94.4 (CI, 86.5-97.8)  
        No 183 93.4 (CI, 88.3-96.4) 85.3 (CI, 81.7-88.3)  
18 months     
    CCyR (0% Ph+ P = .03 P = .002 P < .0001 
        Yes 132 98.5 (CI, 93.9-99.6) 97.1 (CI, 94.1-98.6) 100 
        No 65 87.6 (CI, 80.5-92.3) 76.5 (CI, 70.8-81.4) 36.9 (CI, 30.4-44.0) 
    MMR  P = .96 P = .39  
        Yes 41 95.6 (CI, 89.8-98.2) 94.5 (CI, 89.2-97.3)  
        No 156 94.5 (CI, 85.4-98.1) 87.5 (CI, 80.2-94.2)  
Any time during follow-up     
    Loss of CHR 18 5.2 (P = .01; CI, 1.4-19.6) 8.8 (P < .0001; CI, 3.6-21.5) NA 
    Loss of CCyR 17 3.2 (P = .04; CI,1.1-15.4) 6.95 (P = .001; CI, 2.2-21.7) NA 
    Highly resistant TK mutation 0.49 (P = .8; CI 0.001-1003) 0.49 (P = .5; CI, 0.02-308) NA 
    Acquisition of ACA in Ph+ cells 16 4.0 (P = .05; CI, 1.02-23.6) 5.5 (P = .03; CI, 1.3-17.7) NA 
    Loss of MMR 10 0.04 (P = .6 CI, 0.0003-21675) 0.04 (P = .3; CI, 0.0005-15654) NA 
    ACA in Ph cells 2.5 (P = .6; CI, 0.2-65.1) 1.8 (P = .8; CI, 0.4-35.7) NA 
    TK mutation 12 4.4 (P = .1; CI, 0.8-14.7) 3.0 (P = .03; CI, 1.2-11.1) NA 
N*Survival, %PFS, %Probability of CCyR, %
At diagnosis     
    Sokal risk group  P = .02 P = .02 P = .0004 
        Low and intermediate 156 93.5 (CI, 88.4-96.4) 91.3 (CI, 87.9-93.8) 84.0 (CI, 80.2-87.2) 
        High 68 72.4 (CI, 50.5-87.1) 69.6 (CI, 61.3-76.8) 61.8 (CI, 55.8-67.5) 
    Karyotype  P = .03 P = .003 P = .37 
        Ph chromosome only 209 88.4 (CI, 81.2-93.1) 85.4 (CI, 81.0-88.9) 77.4 (CI, 74.3-80.2) 
        ACAs in Ph+ cells 15 42.9 (CI, 14.8-76.5) 35.7 (CI, 13.4-66.6) 71.4 (CI, 54.1-84.1) 
3 months     
    Lack of hematologic response  P = .003 P = .002 P = .0003 
        Yes 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) 
        No 216 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1 
    Lack of CHR  P = .003 P = .002 P = .0003 
        Yes 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) 
        No 216 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1) 
6 months     
    CHR  P = .0001 P = .0002 P = .0001 
        Yes 210 95.1 (CI, 89.5-97.8) 86.7 (CI, 83.3-89.5) 82.4 (CI, 80.1-84.5) 
        No 59.6 (CI, 38.2-77.8) 49.4 (CI, 31.2-67.7) 
    Cytogenetic response (≤95 % Ph+ P = .04 P = .007 P < .0001 
        Yes 185 94.9 (CI, 92.3-96.7) 87.1 (CI, 85.0-88.9) 90.3 (CI, 82.8-94.7) 
        No 34 84.6 (CI, 72.5-92.0) 72.8 (CI, 64.4-79.9) 17.6 (CI, 15.0-20.5) 
    MCyR (≤35% Ph+ P = .09 P = .0007 P < .0001 
        Yes 157 93.2 (CI, 83.7-97.3) 91.5 (CI, 88.1-94.0) 95.5 (CI, 93.9-96.7) 
        No 62 74.2 (CI, 58.8-85.3) 70.4 (CI, 62.1-77.6) 37.1 (CI, 31.4-43.1) 
12 months     
    MCyR (≤35% Ph+ P = .1 P = .003 P < .0001 
        Yes 169 95.1 (CI, 90.6-97.5) 90.0 (CI, 86.9-92.4) 95.3 (CI, 94.2-96.2) 
        No 46 86.7 (CI, 75.5-93.2) 76.3 (CI, 67.7-83.2) 23.9 (CI, 20.2-28.0) 
    CCyR (0% Ph+ P = .009 P = .0006 P < .0001 
        Yes 127 98.4 (CI, 95.9-99.4) 96.2 (CI, 94.3-97.5) 100 
        No 88 86.0(CI, 79.1-90.9) 74.4 (CI, 70.3-78.1) 48.2 (CI, 42.4-54.1) 
    MMR  P = .8 P = .3  
        Yes 32 96.4 (CI, 85.2-99.2) 94.4 (CI, 86.5-97.8)  
        No 183 93.4 (CI, 88.3-96.4) 85.3 (CI, 81.7-88.3)  
18 months     
    CCyR (0% Ph+ P = .03 P = .002 P < .0001 
        Yes 132 98.5 (CI, 93.9-99.6) 97.1 (CI, 94.1-98.6) 100 
        No 65 87.6 (CI, 80.5-92.3) 76.5 (CI, 70.8-81.4) 36.9 (CI, 30.4-44.0) 
    MMR  P = .96 P = .39  
        Yes 41 95.6 (CI, 89.8-98.2) 94.5 (CI, 89.2-97.3)  
        No 156 94.5 (CI, 85.4-98.1) 87.5 (CI, 80.2-94.2)  
Any time during follow-up     
    Loss of CHR 18 5.2 (P = .01; CI, 1.4-19.6) 8.8 (P < .0001; CI, 3.6-21.5) NA 
    Loss of CCyR 17 3.2 (P = .04; CI,1.1-15.4) 6.95 (P = .001; CI, 2.2-21.7) NA 
    Highly resistant TK mutation 0.49 (P = .8; CI 0.001-1003) 0.49 (P = .5; CI, 0.02-308) NA 
    Acquisition of ACA in Ph+ cells 16 4.0 (P = .05; CI, 1.02-23.6) 5.5 (P = .03; CI, 1.3-17.7) NA 
    Loss of MMR 10 0.04 (P = .6 CI, 0.0003-21675) 0.04 (P = .3; CI, 0.0005-15654) NA 
    ACA in Ph cells 2.5 (P = .6; CI, 0.2-65.1) 1.8 (P = .8; CI, 0.4-35.7) NA 
    TK mutation 12 4.4 (P = .1; CI, 0.8-14.7) 3.0 (P = .03; CI, 1.2-11.1) NA 

NA indicates not applicable.

*

N represents the number of patients with the indicated characteristic.

Before accelerated or blastic phase.

A very similar result was obtained when only patients who had achieved MMR were analyzed.

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