Five-year probabilities of survival, PFS, and probability of achieving CCyR according to the different constituents of the definitions of failure, suboptimal response, and warning
. | N* . | Survival, % . | PFS, % . | Probability of CCyR, % . |
---|---|---|---|---|
At diagnosis | ||||
Sokal risk group | P = .02 | P = .02 | P = .0004 | |
Low and intermediate | 156 | 93.5 (CI, 88.4-96.4) | 91.3 (CI, 87.9-93.8) | 84.0 (CI, 80.2-87.2) |
High | 68 | 72.4 (CI, 50.5-87.1) | 69.6 (CI, 61.3-76.8) | 61.8 (CI, 55.8-67.5) |
Karyotype | P = .03 | P = .003 | P = .37 | |
Ph chromosome only | 209 | 88.4 (CI, 81.2-93.1) | 85.4 (CI, 81.0-88.9) | 77.4 (CI, 74.3-80.2) |
ACAs in Ph+ cells | 15 | 42.9 (CI, 14.8-76.5) | 35.7 (CI, 13.4-66.6) | 71.4 (CI, 54.1-84.1) |
3 months | ||||
Lack of hematologic response | P = .003 | P = .002 | P = .0003 | |
Yes | 8 | 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) | 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) | 0 |
No | 216 | 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) | 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) | 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1 |
Lack of CHR | P = .003 | P = .002 | P = .0003 | |
Yes | 8 | 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) | 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) | 0 |
No | 216 | 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) | 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) | 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1) |
6 months | ||||
CHR | P = .0001 | P = .0002 | P = .0001 | |
Yes | 210 | 95.1 (CI, 89.5-97.8) | 86.7 (CI, 83.3-89.5) | 82.4 (CI, 80.1-84.5) |
No | 9 | 59.6 (CI, 38.2-77.8) | 49.4 (CI, 31.2-67.7) | 0 |
Cytogenetic response (≤95 % Ph+) | P = .04 | P = .007 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 185 | 94.9 (CI, 92.3-96.7) | 87.1 (CI, 85.0-88.9) | 90.3 (CI, 82.8-94.7) |
No | 34 | 84.6 (CI, 72.5-92.0) | 72.8 (CI, 64.4-79.9) | 17.6 (CI, 15.0-20.5) |
MCyR (≤35% Ph+) | P = .09 | P = .0007 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 157 | 93.2 (CI, 83.7-97.3) | 91.5 (CI, 88.1-94.0) | 95.5 (CI, 93.9-96.7) |
No | 62 | 74.2 (CI, 58.8-85.3) | 70.4 (CI, 62.1-77.6) | 37.1 (CI, 31.4-43.1) |
12 months | ||||
MCyR (≤35% Ph+) | P = .1 | P = .003 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 169 | 95.1 (CI, 90.6-97.5) | 90.0 (CI, 86.9-92.4) | 95.3 (CI, 94.2-96.2) |
No | 46 | 86.7 (CI, 75.5-93.2) | 76.3 (CI, 67.7-83.2) | 23.9 (CI, 20.2-28.0) |
CCyR (0% Ph+) | P = .009 | P = .0006 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 127 | 98.4 (CI, 95.9-99.4) | 96.2 (CI, 94.3-97.5) | 100 |
No | 88 | 86.0(CI, 79.1-90.9) | 74.4 (CI, 70.3-78.1) | 48.2 (CI, 42.4-54.1) |
MMR | P = .8 | P = .3 | ||
Yes | 32 | 96.4 (CI, 85.2-99.2) | 94.4 (CI, 86.5-97.8) | |
No | 183 | 93.4 (CI, 88.3-96.4) | 85.3 (CI, 81.7-88.3) | |
18 months | ||||
CCyR (0% Ph+) | P = .03 | P = .002 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 132 | 98.5 (CI, 93.9-99.6) | 97.1 (CI, 94.1-98.6) | 100 |
No | 65 | 87.6 (CI, 80.5-92.3) | 76.5 (CI, 70.8-81.4) | 36.9 (CI, 30.4-44.0) |
MMR | P = .96 | P = .39 | ||
Yes | 41 | 95.6 (CI, 89.8-98.2) | 94.5 (CI, 89.2-97.3) | |
No | 156 | 94.5 (CI, 85.4-98.1) | 87.5 (CI, 80.2-94.2) | |
Any time during follow-up | ||||
Loss of CHR† | 18 | 5.2 (P = .01; CI, 1.4-19.6) | 8.8 (P < .0001; CI, 3.6-21.5) | NA |
Loss of CCyR† | 17 | 3.2 (P = .04; CI,1.1-15.4) | 6.95 (P = .001; CI, 2.2-21.7) | NA |
Highly resistant TK mutation | 2 | 0.49 (P = .8; CI 0.001-1003) | 0.49 (P = .5; CI, 0.02-308) | NA |
Acquisition of ACA in Ph+ cells† | 16 | 4.0 (P = .05; CI, 1.02-23.6) | 5.5 (P = .03; CI, 1.3-17.7) | NA |
Loss of MMR‡ | 10 | 0.04 (P = .6 CI, 0.0003-21675) | 0.04 (P = .3; CI, 0.0005-15654) | NA |
ACA in Ph− cells | 8 | 2.5 (P = .6; CI, 0.2-65.1) | 1.8 (P = .8; CI, 0.4-35.7) | NA |
TK mutation† | 12 | 4.4 (P = .1; CI, 0.8-14.7) | 3.0 (P = .03; CI, 1.2-11.1) | NA |
. | N* . | Survival, % . | PFS, % . | Probability of CCyR, % . |
---|---|---|---|---|
At diagnosis | ||||
Sokal risk group | P = .02 | P = .02 | P = .0004 | |
Low and intermediate | 156 | 93.5 (CI, 88.4-96.4) | 91.3 (CI, 87.9-93.8) | 84.0 (CI, 80.2-87.2) |
High | 68 | 72.4 (CI, 50.5-87.1) | 69.6 (CI, 61.3-76.8) | 61.8 (CI, 55.8-67.5) |
Karyotype | P = .03 | P = .003 | P = .37 | |
Ph chromosome only | 209 | 88.4 (CI, 81.2-93.1) | 85.4 (CI, 81.0-88.9) | 77.4 (CI, 74.3-80.2) |
ACAs in Ph+ cells | 15 | 42.9 (CI, 14.8-76.5) | 35.7 (CI, 13.4-66.6) | 71.4 (CI, 54.1-84.1) |
3 months | ||||
Lack of hematologic response | P = .003 | P = .002 | P = .0003 | |
Yes | 8 | 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) | 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) | 0 |
No | 216 | 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) | 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) | 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1 |
Lack of CHR | P = .003 | P = .002 | P = .0003 | |
Yes | 8 | 60.2 (CI, 40.5-77.0) | 56.2 (CI, 38.9-72.1) | 0 |
No | 216 | 93.2 (CI, 84.8-97.1) | 84.6 (CI, 80.3-88.1) | 80.1 (CI, 75.5-84.1) |
6 months | ||||
CHR | P = .0001 | P = .0002 | P = .0001 | |
Yes | 210 | 95.1 (CI, 89.5-97.8) | 86.7 (CI, 83.3-89.5) | 82.4 (CI, 80.1-84.5) |
No | 9 | 59.6 (CI, 38.2-77.8) | 49.4 (CI, 31.2-67.7) | 0 |
Cytogenetic response (≤95 % Ph+) | P = .04 | P = .007 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 185 | 94.9 (CI, 92.3-96.7) | 87.1 (CI, 85.0-88.9) | 90.3 (CI, 82.8-94.7) |
No | 34 | 84.6 (CI, 72.5-92.0) | 72.8 (CI, 64.4-79.9) | 17.6 (CI, 15.0-20.5) |
MCyR (≤35% Ph+) | P = .09 | P = .0007 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 157 | 93.2 (CI, 83.7-97.3) | 91.5 (CI, 88.1-94.0) | 95.5 (CI, 93.9-96.7) |
No | 62 | 74.2 (CI, 58.8-85.3) | 70.4 (CI, 62.1-77.6) | 37.1 (CI, 31.4-43.1) |
12 months | ||||
MCyR (≤35% Ph+) | P = .1 | P = .003 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 169 | 95.1 (CI, 90.6-97.5) | 90.0 (CI, 86.9-92.4) | 95.3 (CI, 94.2-96.2) |
No | 46 | 86.7 (CI, 75.5-93.2) | 76.3 (CI, 67.7-83.2) | 23.9 (CI, 20.2-28.0) |
CCyR (0% Ph+) | P = .009 | P = .0006 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 127 | 98.4 (CI, 95.9-99.4) | 96.2 (CI, 94.3-97.5) | 100 |
No | 88 | 86.0(CI, 79.1-90.9) | 74.4 (CI, 70.3-78.1) | 48.2 (CI, 42.4-54.1) |
MMR | P = .8 | P = .3 | ||
Yes | 32 | 96.4 (CI, 85.2-99.2) | 94.4 (CI, 86.5-97.8) | |
No | 183 | 93.4 (CI, 88.3-96.4) | 85.3 (CI, 81.7-88.3) | |
18 months | ||||
CCyR (0% Ph+) | P = .03 | P = .002 | P < .0001 | |
Yes | 132 | 98.5 (CI, 93.9-99.6) | 97.1 (CI, 94.1-98.6) | 100 |
No | 65 | 87.6 (CI, 80.5-92.3) | 76.5 (CI, 70.8-81.4) | 36.9 (CI, 30.4-44.0) |
MMR | P = .96 | P = .39 | ||
Yes | 41 | 95.6 (CI, 89.8-98.2) | 94.5 (CI, 89.2-97.3) | |
No | 156 | 94.5 (CI, 85.4-98.1) | 87.5 (CI, 80.2-94.2) | |
Any time during follow-up | ||||
Loss of CHR† | 18 | 5.2 (P = .01; CI, 1.4-19.6) | 8.8 (P < .0001; CI, 3.6-21.5) | NA |
Loss of CCyR† | 17 | 3.2 (P = .04; CI,1.1-15.4) | 6.95 (P = .001; CI, 2.2-21.7) | NA |
Highly resistant TK mutation | 2 | 0.49 (P = .8; CI 0.001-1003) | 0.49 (P = .5; CI, 0.02-308) | NA |
Acquisition of ACA in Ph+ cells† | 16 | 4.0 (P = .05; CI, 1.02-23.6) | 5.5 (P = .03; CI, 1.3-17.7) | NA |
Loss of MMR‡ | 10 | 0.04 (P = .6 CI, 0.0003-21675) | 0.04 (P = .3; CI, 0.0005-15654) | NA |
ACA in Ph− cells | 8 | 2.5 (P = .6; CI, 0.2-65.1) | 1.8 (P = .8; CI, 0.4-35.7) | NA |
TK mutation† | 12 | 4.4 (P = .1; CI, 0.8-14.7) | 3.0 (P = .03; CI, 1.2-11.1) | NA |