Table 3

Prognostic model based on regression tree analysis

Category/age, yNo. (%)Complete response, no. (%)CR duration
Overall survival
Median, mo6-y prog free, %Median, mo6-y surv, %
β2-microglobulin less than 2N, any age 168 (57) 141 (84) 86 72 Not reached 85 
β2-microglobulin 2N or more 
    Less than 70 y 96 (33) 58 (60) 81 66 Not reached 72 
     70 y and older 31 (11) 15 (48) 85 72 48 48 
Category/age, yNo. (%)Complete response, no. (%)CR duration
Overall survival
Median, mo6-y prog free, %Median, mo6-y surv, %
β2-microglobulin less than 2N, any age 168 (57) 141 (84) 86 72 Not reached 85 
β2-microglobulin 2N or more 
    Less than 70 y 96 (33) 58 (60) 81 66 Not reached 72 
     70 y and older 31 (11) 15 (48) 85 72 48 48 

Patients with β2-microglobulin (β2m) less than twice upper limit of reference (< 2N) had a favorable 6-year survival of 85%, with no significant difference and between younger (< 70 years, n = 158) and older (≥ 70 years, n = 10) patients (6-year survival 84% vs 90%, respectively, P = .73). Patients with β2m 2N or more and age younger than 70 years had intermediate survival (6-year survival 72%, P = .003 compared with low β2m patients), and those with β2m 2N or more and age 70 years or older had the most unfavorable survival (6-year survival 48%, P = .007 compared with intermediate risk patients). For those patients who achieved complete remission, remission duration was similar regardless of pretreatment risk category.

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