Table 4.

Multivariate models predicting death given the direction of the response rates (RR)

Prognostic factorsMultivariate 1 (OS from ASCT)Multivariate 2 (OS from second-line therapy)Multivariate 3 (OS from second-line therapy)
RR (95% CI)PRR (95% CI)PRR (95% CI)P
Age at second-line therapy Not significant 1.03 (1.00, 1.05)  .03 1.03 (1.01, 1.06)  .02 
Post-ASCT CR   <.001 0.51 (0.28, 0.88)  .01 Not included 
dFLC ≥5 mg/dL at second-line therapy initiation 2.81 (1.56, 5.16)  <.001 Not included 2.83 (1.59, 5.13)  <.001 
Novel agents at second line 0.54 (0.36, 0.81)  .003 0.57 (0.39, 0.83)  .004 0.60 (0.41, 0.91)  .02 
Organ >2 at diagnosis 2.33 (1.34, 3.86)  .004 Not included Not included 
Relapse status at second-line therapy initiation   <.001   <.001   <.001 
Group 2 (hematologic only) 1.0 (Reference) –  1.0 (Reference) –  1.0 (Reference) –  
Group 1 (no R/P) 0.47 (0.1, 1.27) .14  0.54 (0.20, 1.26) .16  0.49 (0.14, 1.30) .16  
Group 3 (organ only) 2.99 (1.56, 5.89) .001  1.69 (0.99, 2.97) .05  3.24 (1.70, 6.24) <.001  
Group 4 (hematologic and organ) 1.55 (0.92, 2.70) .1  1.92 (1.14, 3.35) .01  1.93 (1.15, 3.39) <.001  
Group 5 (consolidation) 0.89 (0.21, 2.63) .85  0.65 (0.15, 1.92) .47  0.78 (0.18, 2.30) .69  
Prognostic factorsMultivariate 1 (OS from ASCT)Multivariate 2 (OS from second-line therapy)Multivariate 3 (OS from second-line therapy)
RR (95% CI)PRR (95% CI)PRR (95% CI)P
Age at second-line therapy Not significant 1.03 (1.00, 1.05)  .03 1.03 (1.01, 1.06)  .02 
Post-ASCT CR   <.001 0.51 (0.28, 0.88)  .01 Not included 
dFLC ≥5 mg/dL at second-line therapy initiation 2.81 (1.56, 5.16)  <.001 Not included 2.83 (1.59, 5.13)  <.001 
Novel agents at second line 0.54 (0.36, 0.81)  .003 0.57 (0.39, 0.83)  .004 0.60 (0.41, 0.91)  .02 
Organ >2 at diagnosis 2.33 (1.34, 3.86)  .004 Not included Not included 
Relapse status at second-line therapy initiation   <.001   <.001   <.001 
Group 2 (hematologic only) 1.0 (Reference) –  1.0 (Reference) –  1.0 (Reference) –  
Group 1 (no R/P) 0.47 (0.1, 1.27) .14  0.54 (0.20, 1.26) .16  0.49 (0.14, 1.30) .16  
Group 3 (organ only) 2.99 (1.56, 5.89) .001  1.69 (0.99, 2.97) .05  3.24 (1.70, 6.24) <.001  
Group 4 (hematologic and organ) 1.55 (0.92, 2.70) .1  1.92 (1.14, 3.35) .01  1.93 (1.15, 3.39) <.001  
Group 5 (consolidation) 0.89 (0.21, 2.63) .85  0.65 (0.15, 1.92) .47  0.78 (0.18, 2.30) .69  

“Not significant” implies significance on univariate, but driven from model on stepwise multivariate build. “Not included” refers to variables that were not included because not significant on univariate.

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