Table 1

Summary of model predictions for 51 considered patients from the IRIS trial (training set)/31 patients from the CML IV trial (validation set)

Time to complete eradication of MRD 48.9 y (28-112)/32.8 y (18-176) 
Treatment time to 4.0 log reduction (MR4.06.5 y (5.0-9.7)/5.3 y (4.5-9.2) 
Treatment time to 4.5 log reduction (MR4.510.7 y (7.7-13)/9.1 y (6.9-13) 
Cumulative cure rate after 15 y of treatment 14%/16% 
Cumulative cure rate after 30 y of treatment 31%/42% 
Time to complete eradication of MRD 48.9 y (28-112)/32.8 y (18-176) 
Treatment time to 4.0 log reduction (MR4.06.5 y (5.0-9.7)/5.3 y (4.5-9.2) 
Treatment time to 4.5 log reduction (MR4.510.7 y (7.7-13)/9.1 y (6.9-13) 
Cumulative cure rate after 15 y of treatment 14%/16% 
Cumulative cure rate after 30 y of treatment 31%/42% 

Time estimates represent medians and, in parentheses, interquartile ranges. Note that “cure” refers to complete eradication of MRD.

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