Table 5

Risk factors associated with outcomes after NIH chronic GVHD

Hazard ratio (95% CI)P
Nonrelapse mortality*   
    Platelet count less than 100 000/μL at onset 2.38 (1.6-3.5) < .001 
    Prednisone dose category at onset, per group 1.74 (1.4-2.2) < .001 
    Total serum bilirubin concentration more than 2 mg/dL at onset 2.10 (1.4-3.2) .001 
    Patient age, per 10 years 1.33 (1.2-1.5) < .001 
    Acute GVHD before day 100, vs grades 0-I  .008 
        Grade II 1.19 (0.6-2.2)  
        Grades III-IV 2.15 (1.1-4.2)  
    Antecedent late acute GVHD 2.45 (1.4-4.2) .002 
    No. of HLA-mismatched loci, per locus 1.31 (1.1-1.6) .01 
    Female donor for male recipient 1.49 (1.0-2.2) .04 
Discontinued systemic treatment   
    Antecedent late acute GVHD 0.35 (0.2-0.6) < .001 
    G-CSF–mobilized blood as source of stem cells 0.57 (0.4-0.8) .001 
    Total serum bilirubin concentration more than 2 mg/dL at onset 0.62 (0.4-1.0) .04 
    Prednisone dose category at onset, per group 0.63 (0.5-0.8) .001 
    Female donor for male recipient 0.66 (0.5-0.9) .006 
    No. of sites involved at onset (except skin) 0.67 (0.6-0.8) < .001 
    Donor age, per 10 years 1.13 (1.0-1.3) .02 
    No. of HLA-mismatched loci, per locus 0.84 (0.7-1.0) .04 
Hazard ratio (95% CI)P
Nonrelapse mortality*   
    Platelet count less than 100 000/μL at onset 2.38 (1.6-3.5) < .001 
    Prednisone dose category at onset, per group 1.74 (1.4-2.2) < .001 
    Total serum bilirubin concentration more than 2 mg/dL at onset 2.10 (1.4-3.2) .001 
    Patient age, per 10 years 1.33 (1.2-1.5) < .001 
    Acute GVHD before day 100, vs grades 0-I  .008 
        Grade II 1.19 (0.6-2.2)  
        Grades III-IV 2.15 (1.1-4.2)  
    Antecedent late acute GVHD 2.45 (1.4-4.2) .002 
    No. of HLA-mismatched loci, per locus 1.31 (1.1-1.6) .01 
    Female donor for male recipient 1.49 (1.0-2.2) .04 
Discontinued systemic treatment   
    Antecedent late acute GVHD 0.35 (0.2-0.6) < .001 
    G-CSF–mobilized blood as source of stem cells 0.57 (0.4-0.8) .001 
    Total serum bilirubin concentration more than 2 mg/dL at onset 0.62 (0.4-1.0) .04 
    Prednisone dose category at onset, per group 0.63 (0.5-0.8) .001 
    Female donor for male recipient 0.66 (0.5-0.9) .006 
    No. of sites involved at onset (except skin) 0.67 (0.6-0.8) < .001 
    Donor age, per 10 years 1.13 (1.0-1.3) .02 
    No. of HLA-mismatched loci, per locus 0.84 (0.7-1.0) .04 
*

In this model, recurrent malignancy was treated as a competing risk. Follow-up was censored for patients who had recurrent malignancy before death. P values are derived from the likelihood ratio test.

Hazard ratios less than 1.0 indicate a lower rate of discontinued treatment, resulting in prolonged systemic treatment in the presence of the indicated risk factor compared with its absence. In this model, death and recurrent malignancy were treated as competing risks. Follow-up was censored for patients who died or had recurrent malignancy before systemic treatment was discontinued. P values are derived from the likelihood ratio test.

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