Table 2.

Five-year survival model

Survived >5 yDied
≤5 y
Univariable (P value) Multivariable (P value) 
Discovery cohort (n = 38)      
Age (y) 53.6 ± 15.2 62.1 ± 10.9 .150 .422 
Time from diagnosis (y)§  3.4 ± 4.6 5.1 ± 5.2 .380 .990 
Sex (female/male)||  17/10 3/8 .110 .949 
Advanced SM (yes/no)||  5/22 6/5 .029 .078 
TNF (high/low)||  4/23 9/2 <.001 .008 
AP (high/low)||  5/22 6/5 .009 .186 
Serum tryptase (high/low)||  3/4 6/5 .010 .359 
S/A/R mutation (yes/no)||,  1/26 1/10 .690 .227 
Validation cohort (n = 132)#      
Age (y) 49.0 ± 14.3 65.2 ± 11.6 <.001 .097 
Time from diagnosis (y)  3.2 ± 4.1 2.4 ± 5.1 .37 .017 
Sex (female/male)||  64/44 6/18 .003 .329 
Advanced SM (yes/no)||  14/94 20/4 <.001 <.001 
TNF (high/low)||  9/99 19/5 <.001 .028 
AP (high/low)||  25/83 16/8 <.001 .108 
Serum tryptase (high/low)||  12/96 11/13 <.001 .832 
S/A/R mutation (yes/no)||,  2/106 16/8 <.001 .047 
Survived >5 yDied
≤5 y
Univariable (P value) Multivariable (P value) 
Discovery cohort (n = 38)      
Age (y) 53.6 ± 15.2 62.1 ± 10.9 .150 .422 
Time from diagnosis (y)§  3.4 ± 4.6 5.1 ± 5.2 .380 .990 
Sex (female/male)||  17/10 3/8 .110 .949 
Advanced SM (yes/no)||  5/22 6/5 .029 .078 
TNF (high/low)||  4/23 9/2 <.001 .008 
AP (high/low)||  5/22 6/5 .009 .186 
Serum tryptase (high/low)||  3/4 6/5 .010 .359 
S/A/R mutation (yes/no)||,  1/26 1/10 .690 .227 
Validation cohort (n = 132)#      
Age (y) 49.0 ± 14.3 65.2 ± 11.6 <.001 .097 
Time from diagnosis (y)  3.2 ± 4.1 2.4 ± 5.1 .37 .017 
Sex (female/male)||  64/44 6/18 .003 .329 
Advanced SM (yes/no)||  14/94 20/4 <.001 <.001 
TNF (high/low)||  9/99 19/5 <.001 .028 
AP (high/low)||  25/83 16/8 <.001 .108 
Serum tryptase (high/low)||  12/96 11/13 <.001 .832 
S/A/R mutation (yes/no)||,  2/106 16/8 <.001 .047 

AP, alkaline phosphatase.

Or censored.

Univariable or multivariable Cox regression.

Exclusion of 2 patients with incomplete data.

§

Time between diagnosis and sample collection.

||

Binary variables (cutoff values: TNF 2.96 pg/mL in the discovery cohort and 1.235 pg/mL in the validation cohort based on different generations of the TNF ELISA applied; alkaline phosphatase 100 U/L; and serum tryptase 125 ng/mL).

SRSF2, ASXL1, and RUNX1 mutation status.

#

Exclusion of 1 statistical outlier and 9 patients with incomplete data.

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