Performance metrics from predictive models and estimated coefficients from the models
| Parameter . | 6-mo mortality . | 12-mo mortality . |
|---|---|---|
| Number of events | 88 | 103 |
| Performance metrics | ||
| AUC | 85.0 | 85.9 |
| Optimism-corrected AUC | 77.4 | 80.0 |
| Brier score | 0.153 | 0.152 |
| Optimism-corrected Brier score | 0.169 | 0.169 |
| Calibration slope | 1.0000 | 1.0003 |
| Calibration intercept | −0.00043 | 0.00141 |
| Optimism-corrected slope | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Optimism-corrected intercept | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Intercept and coefficients | ||
| Intercept | 1.1149 | 1.4284 |
| Patient age | 0.0286 | 0.0331 |
| Bilirubin | 0.2520 | 0.2777 |
| Albumin | 1.2006 | 1.2698 |
| Abdominal pain, no stage 4 gut | 0.0661 | 0.3550 |
| Abdominal pain with stage 4 gut | 1.8603 | 1.7278 |
| Parameter . | 6-mo mortality . | 12-mo mortality . |
|---|---|---|
| Number of events | 88 | 103 |
| Performance metrics | ||
| AUC | 85.0 | 85.9 |
| Optimism-corrected AUC | 77.4 | 80.0 |
| Brier score | 0.153 | 0.152 |
| Optimism-corrected Brier score | 0.169 | 0.169 |
| Calibration slope | 1.0000 | 1.0003 |
| Calibration intercept | −0.00043 | 0.00141 |
| Optimism-corrected slope | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Optimism-corrected intercept | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Intercept and coefficients | ||
| Intercept | 1.1149 | 1.4284 |
| Patient age | 0.0286 | 0.0331 |
| Bilirubin | 0.2520 | 0.2777 |
| Albumin | 1.2006 | 1.2698 |
| Abdominal pain, no stage 4 gut | 0.0661 | 0.3550 |
| Abdominal pain with stage 4 gut | 1.8603 | 1.7278 |