Base-case estimates and ranges
| Result or transition . | Estimate . | Range . | References . |
|---|---|---|---|
| TITAN | |||
| Cohort age at start, mean, y | 42 | 19-72 | 11 |
| Probability of death, SOC arm | 0.054 | 11 | |
| Probability of death, caplacizumab arm | 0 | 11 | |
| Probability of total recurrence SOC arm | 0.324 | 11 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, caplacizumab arm | 0.314 | 11 | |
| Probability of total relapse at 5 y | 0.4 | 0.19-0.4 | 3, 8, 22 |
| Discount rate | 0.03 | 0.015-0.06 | 23 |
| HERCULES | |||
| Cohort age at start, mean, y | 46 | 18-79 | 12 |
| Probability of death, SOC arm | 0.041 | 12 | |
| Probability of death caplacizumab arm | 0.014 | 12 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, SOC arm | 0.384 | 12 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, caplacizumab arm | 0.125 | 12 | |
| Discount rate | 0.03 | 0.015-0.06 | 23 |
| Result or transition . | Estimate . | Range . | References . |
|---|---|---|---|
| TITAN | |||
| Cohort age at start, mean, y | 42 | 19-72 | 11 |
| Probability of death, SOC arm | 0.054 | 11 | |
| Probability of death, caplacizumab arm | 0 | 11 | |
| Probability of total recurrence SOC arm | 0.324 | 11 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, caplacizumab arm | 0.314 | 11 | |
| Probability of total relapse at 5 y | 0.4 | 0.19-0.4 | 3, 8, 22 |
| Discount rate | 0.03 | 0.015-0.06 | 23 |
| HERCULES | |||
| Cohort age at start, mean, y | 46 | 18-79 | 12 |
| Probability of death, SOC arm | 0.041 | 12 | |
| Probability of death caplacizumab arm | 0.014 | 12 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, SOC arm | 0.384 | 12 | |
| Probability of total recurrence, caplacizumab arm | 0.125 | 12 | |
| Discount rate | 0.03 | 0.015-0.06 | 23 |