Costs and clinical variables included in the model
Model variable . | CPX-351 . | 7 + 3 . | Ref. . | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base-case scenario . | Range . | Base-case scenario . | Range . | ||
Treatment patterns | |||||
Probability of requiring reinduction | 0.31 | 0.16-0.47 | 0.34 | 0.17-0.51 | 3 |
Probability of receiving cycle 1 of consolidation | 0.32 | 0.16-0.48 | 0.21 | 0.11-0.32 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 1 as inpatient | 0.49 | 0.25-0.74 | 0.94 | 0.50-1.00 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 1 as outpatient | 0.51 | 0.26-0.77 | 0.06 | 0.03-0.09 | 3 |
Probability of receiving cycle 2 of consolidation | 0.15 | 0.08-0.22 | 0.08 | 0.04-0.12 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 2 as inpatient | 0.39 | 0.20-0.59 | 1.0 | N/A | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 2 as outpatient | 0.61 | 0.31-0.92 | 0 | N/A | 3 |
Probability to proceed to allo-HCT | 0.34 | 0.17-0.51 | 0.25 | 0.13-0.38 | 1 |
Probability to receive salvage chemotherapy | 0.23 | 0.12-0.35 | 0.23 | 0.12-0.35 | 20 |
Probability to receive LIT at time of relapse | 0.33 | 0.17-0.50 | 0.33 | 0.17-0.50 | 20 |
Probability to proceed to hospice/BSC | 0.44 | 0.22-0.66 | 0.44 | 0.22-0.66 | 20 |
Costs | |||||
Cost of inpatient induction | 6,7 | ||||
Baseline AML induction cost for 1 cycle | $68 983 | $34 492-103 475 | $68 983 | $34 392-103 475 | |
Baseline AML induction cost for 2 cycles | $134 484 | $67 242-201 726 | $134 484 | $67 242-201 726 | |
CPX-351 drug cost-induction | $53 484 | $26 742-80 226 | N/A | ||
CPX-351 drug cost-re-induction | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of inpatient consolidation per cycle | 6,7 | ||||
Baseline AML consolidation cost | $30 762 | $15 381-46 143 | $30 762 | $15 381-46 143 | |
CPX-351 drug cost: consolidation | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of outpatient consolidation per cycle | 1,6,7 | ||||
Baseline outpatient consolidation cost | $6 189 | $3 095-9 284 | $6 189 | $3 095-9 284 | |
CPX-351 drug cost per dose (2 doses) | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of salvage chemotherapy | $153 737 | $76 869-230 606 | $153 737 | $76 869-230 606 | 8 |
Cost of LIT (cycle) | $10 522 | $5 261-15 783 | $10 522 | $5 261-15 783 | 9 |
Number of other lower-intensity salvage therapy cycles | 6 | 3-9 cycles | 6 | 3-9 cycles | 9 |
Cost of allo-HCT | $145 892 | $72 946-218 838 | $145 892 | $72 946-218 838 | 6 |
Cost of office visit | $131 | $66-197 | $131 | $66-197 | 21 |
Number of office visits (per mo) | 10.5 | 5-15 | 10.5 | 5-15 | 6 |
Cost of hospice care (mo) | $1 129 | $565-1 694 | $1 129 | $565-1 694 | 11 |
Cost of supportive care (mo) | $3 882 | $1 941-5 823 | $3 882 | $1 941-5 823 | 10 |
Cost of terminal care | $8 890 | $4 445-13 335 | $8 890 | $4 445-13 335 | 6 |
Unplanned admission | 6 | ||||
Likelihood of unplanned admission | 0.4/mo | 0.2-0.6/mo | 0.4/mo | 0.2-0.6/mo | |
Costs per episode | $17 220 | $8 610-25 830 | $17 220 | $8 610-25 830 | |
ED visits | 6 | ||||
Likelihood of ED visit | 0.11/mo | 0.06-0.17/mo | 0.11/mo | 0.06-0.17/mo | |
Costs per episode | $1 030 | $515-1 545 | $1 030 | $515-1 545 | |
Utilities | |||||
Utility during induction (months 0-2) | 0.44 | 0.40-0.48 | 0.40 | 0.36-0.44 | 13 |
Utility during temporary remission (3-5 mo) | 0.66 | 0.60-0.72 | 0.66 | 0.60-0.72 | 13 |
Utility during long-term remission (≥6 mo) | 0.82 | 0.74-0.90 | 0.82 | 0.74-0.90 | 14 |
Utility during disease relapse | 0.53 | 0.48-0.58 | 0.53 | 0.48-0.53 | 14 |
Model variable . | CPX-351 . | 7 + 3 . | Ref. . | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base-case scenario . | Range . | Base-case scenario . | Range . | ||
Treatment patterns | |||||
Probability of requiring reinduction | 0.31 | 0.16-0.47 | 0.34 | 0.17-0.51 | 3 |
Probability of receiving cycle 1 of consolidation | 0.32 | 0.16-0.48 | 0.21 | 0.11-0.32 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 1 as inpatient | 0.49 | 0.25-0.74 | 0.94 | 0.50-1.00 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 1 as outpatient | 0.51 | 0.26-0.77 | 0.06 | 0.03-0.09 | 3 |
Probability of receiving cycle 2 of consolidation | 0.15 | 0.08-0.22 | 0.08 | 0.04-0.12 | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 2 as inpatient | 0.39 | 0.20-0.59 | 1.0 | N/A | 3 |
Probability of receiving consolidation 2 as outpatient | 0.61 | 0.31-0.92 | 0 | N/A | 3 |
Probability to proceed to allo-HCT | 0.34 | 0.17-0.51 | 0.25 | 0.13-0.38 | 1 |
Probability to receive salvage chemotherapy | 0.23 | 0.12-0.35 | 0.23 | 0.12-0.35 | 20 |
Probability to receive LIT at time of relapse | 0.33 | 0.17-0.50 | 0.33 | 0.17-0.50 | 20 |
Probability to proceed to hospice/BSC | 0.44 | 0.22-0.66 | 0.44 | 0.22-0.66 | 20 |
Costs | |||||
Cost of inpatient induction | 6,7 | ||||
Baseline AML induction cost for 1 cycle | $68 983 | $34 492-103 475 | $68 983 | $34 392-103 475 | |
Baseline AML induction cost for 2 cycles | $134 484 | $67 242-201 726 | $134 484 | $67 242-201 726 | |
CPX-351 drug cost-induction | $53 484 | $26 742-80 226 | N/A | ||
CPX-351 drug cost-re-induction | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of inpatient consolidation per cycle | 6,7 | ||||
Baseline AML consolidation cost | $30 762 | $15 381-46 143 | $30 762 | $15 381-46 143 | |
CPX-351 drug cost: consolidation | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of outpatient consolidation per cycle | 1,6,7 | ||||
Baseline outpatient consolidation cost | $6 189 | $3 095-9 284 | $6 189 | $3 095-9 284 | |
CPX-351 drug cost per dose (2 doses) | $35 656 | $17 828-53 484 | N/A | ||
Cost of salvage chemotherapy | $153 737 | $76 869-230 606 | $153 737 | $76 869-230 606 | 8 |
Cost of LIT (cycle) | $10 522 | $5 261-15 783 | $10 522 | $5 261-15 783 | 9 |
Number of other lower-intensity salvage therapy cycles | 6 | 3-9 cycles | 6 | 3-9 cycles | 9 |
Cost of allo-HCT | $145 892 | $72 946-218 838 | $145 892 | $72 946-218 838 | 6 |
Cost of office visit | $131 | $66-197 | $131 | $66-197 | 21 |
Number of office visits (per mo) | 10.5 | 5-15 | 10.5 | 5-15 | 6 |
Cost of hospice care (mo) | $1 129 | $565-1 694 | $1 129 | $565-1 694 | 11 |
Cost of supportive care (mo) | $3 882 | $1 941-5 823 | $3 882 | $1 941-5 823 | 10 |
Cost of terminal care | $8 890 | $4 445-13 335 | $8 890 | $4 445-13 335 | 6 |
Unplanned admission | 6 | ||||
Likelihood of unplanned admission | 0.4/mo | 0.2-0.6/mo | 0.4/mo | 0.2-0.6/mo | |
Costs per episode | $17 220 | $8 610-25 830 | $17 220 | $8 610-25 830 | |
ED visits | 6 | ||||
Likelihood of ED visit | 0.11/mo | 0.06-0.17/mo | 0.11/mo | 0.06-0.17/mo | |
Costs per episode | $1 030 | $515-1 545 | $1 030 | $515-1 545 | |
Utilities | |||||
Utility during induction (months 0-2) | 0.44 | 0.40-0.48 | 0.40 | 0.36-0.44 | 13 |
Utility during temporary remission (3-5 mo) | 0.66 | 0.60-0.72 | 0.66 | 0.60-0.72 | 13 |
Utility during long-term remission (≥6 mo) | 0.82 | 0.74-0.90 | 0.82 | 0.74-0.90 | 14 |
Utility during disease relapse | 0.53 | 0.48-0.58 | 0.53 | 0.48-0.53 | 14 |
BSC, best supportive care; ED, emergency department; LIT, lower-intensity therapy; N/A, not available.