Table 4.

VTE recurrence risks in women with hormone exposure at the time of index VTE

ReferenceStudy typeRecurrence rates of hormone VTEGroups compared (for HR, RR, or IRR)HR, RR, or IRR (95% CI)
Heit et al 2000 (45) Retrospective cohort N/R for ♀ separately COC- VTE ♀* vs all VTE HR 0.3 (0.12-0.73) 
HRT-related VTE vs all VTE HR 0.7 (0.31-1.59) 
Kyrle et al 2004 (46) Prospective cohort OC-VTE ♀: 5.9% at 5 y OC- VTE vs idiopathic-VTE ♀ RR 0.8 (0.1-4.0) 
Non-OC ♀: 4.3% at 5 y HRT-VTE vs idiopathic-VTE ♀ RR 1.6 (0.4-6.0) 
Baglin et al 2004 (47) Prospective cohort Estrogen-VTE: 8.7% at 2 y Estrogen ♀ vs ♀ with other risk factors HR 1.181 (0.35-4.03) 
Other ♀: 8.7% at 2 y 
Cushman et al 2006 (56) Data from PREVENT RCT Hormone-VTE: 5% at 3 y 1.Hormone-VTE vs idiopathic 1.aHR 0.54 (0.19-1.54) 
Other ♀: 15% at 3 y 2.OC-VTE vs idiopathic 2.aHR 0.43 (0.07-2.46) 
3.HRT-VTE vs idiopathic 3.aHR 0.62 (0.2-1.91) 
Rodger et al 2008 (42) Prospective cohort N/R 1.OC-VTE vs non-OC-VTE ♀ 1.RR 0.37 (0.11-1.21) 
2. HRT-VTE vs non-HRT-VTE ♀ 2.RR 2.19 (0.86-5.55) 
Le Gal et al 2010 (28) Data from prospective cohort study COC-VTE: 1.7% pa 1.COC-VTE v snon-COC VTE ♀ 1.aHR 0.6 (0.1-2.8) 
HRT-VTE: 10% pa 2.HRT-VTE vs non-HRT VTE ♀ 2.aHR 1.8 (0.6-5.2) (adjusted for age) 
Non-COC-VTE ♀ 5% pa   
High HERDOO2 OC-VTE 4% pa   
Douketis et al 2011 (49) Patient-level meta-analysis N/R 1. Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked VTE ♀ 1. HR 0.5 (0.3-0.8) 
2. OC-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 2. HR 0.39 (0.16-0.91) 
3. HRT-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 3. HR 0.76 (0.39-1.49) 
Tosetto et al 2012 (20) Individual patient data (prospective studies) N/R Hormone-VTE vs non-hormone-VTE ♀ HR N/R (β coefficient −1.08; P = .002
Le Moigne et al 2013 (57) Prospective single-center cohort COC-VTE: IR 17.9/1000/y COC-VTE vs non-COC VTE ♀ IRR 0.7 (0.2-2.4) 
Non-COC: 17.6/1000/y 
Eischer et al 2014 (58) Prospective cohort (all women) Estrogen-VTE: 6% at 5 y 1.EC-VTE vs non-EC VTE ♀ 1.RR 0.3 (0.1-0.5) 
Non estrogen ♀: 17% at 5 y 2.HRT-VTE vs non-HRT VTE ♀ 2.RR 0.7 (0.3-1.5) 
Ljungqvist et al 2014 (59) Prospective follow-up of case control study Estrogen-VTE: 2% pa Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ HR 0.57 (0.36-0.9) 
Non estrogen ♀: 3.2% pa aHR 0.7 (0.43-1.20) 
Kearon et al 2015 (29) Prospective clinical management Non-estrogen ♀: 5.4% PPY Men, nonestrogen ♀, estrogen ♀ N/R (P = .001 for the 3–group comparison) 
Estrogen ♀: 0.0% PPY 
All had persistent negative D-dimer at end of AC and off AC 
Rodger et al 2017 (18) Prospective clinical management Low HERDOO2 stopping AC; <50 y: N/R N/R 
Estrogen-VTE: 1.4%/100 PY 
Nonestrogen ♀: 3.1%/100 PY 
Kiconco et al 2017 (60) Retrospective population-based cohort study Hormone-VTE: 37/1000 PY 1.Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 1. aHR 0.72 (0.58-0.88) 
Non hormone ♀: 51/1000 PY 2. OC-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 2. aHR 0.71 (0.52-0.96) 
3. HRT-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 3. aHR 0.71 (0.53-0.95) 
ReferenceStudy typeRecurrence rates of hormone VTEGroups compared (for HR, RR, or IRR)HR, RR, or IRR (95% CI)
Heit et al 2000 (45) Retrospective cohort N/R for ♀ separately COC- VTE ♀* vs all VTE HR 0.3 (0.12-0.73) 
HRT-related VTE vs all VTE HR 0.7 (0.31-1.59) 
Kyrle et al 2004 (46) Prospective cohort OC-VTE ♀: 5.9% at 5 y OC- VTE vs idiopathic-VTE ♀ RR 0.8 (0.1-4.0) 
Non-OC ♀: 4.3% at 5 y HRT-VTE vs idiopathic-VTE ♀ RR 1.6 (0.4-6.0) 
Baglin et al 2004 (47) Prospective cohort Estrogen-VTE: 8.7% at 2 y Estrogen ♀ vs ♀ with other risk factors HR 1.181 (0.35-4.03) 
Other ♀: 8.7% at 2 y 
Cushman et al 2006 (56) Data from PREVENT RCT Hormone-VTE: 5% at 3 y 1.Hormone-VTE vs idiopathic 1.aHR 0.54 (0.19-1.54) 
Other ♀: 15% at 3 y 2.OC-VTE vs idiopathic 2.aHR 0.43 (0.07-2.46) 
3.HRT-VTE vs idiopathic 3.aHR 0.62 (0.2-1.91) 
Rodger et al 2008 (42) Prospective cohort N/R 1.OC-VTE vs non-OC-VTE ♀ 1.RR 0.37 (0.11-1.21) 
2. HRT-VTE vs non-HRT-VTE ♀ 2.RR 2.19 (0.86-5.55) 
Le Gal et al 2010 (28) Data from prospective cohort study COC-VTE: 1.7% pa 1.COC-VTE v snon-COC VTE ♀ 1.aHR 0.6 (0.1-2.8) 
HRT-VTE: 10% pa 2.HRT-VTE vs non-HRT VTE ♀ 2.aHR 1.8 (0.6-5.2) (adjusted for age) 
Non-COC-VTE ♀ 5% pa   
High HERDOO2 OC-VTE 4% pa   
Douketis et al 2011 (49) Patient-level meta-analysis N/R 1. Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked VTE ♀ 1. HR 0.5 (0.3-0.8) 
2. OC-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 2. HR 0.39 (0.16-0.91) 
3. HRT-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 3. HR 0.76 (0.39-1.49) 
Tosetto et al 2012 (20) Individual patient data (prospective studies) N/R Hormone-VTE vs non-hormone-VTE ♀ HR N/R (β coefficient −1.08; P = .002
Le Moigne et al 2013 (57) Prospective single-center cohort COC-VTE: IR 17.9/1000/y COC-VTE vs non-COC VTE ♀ IRR 0.7 (0.2-2.4) 
Non-COC: 17.6/1000/y 
Eischer et al 2014 (58) Prospective cohort (all women) Estrogen-VTE: 6% at 5 y 1.EC-VTE vs non-EC VTE ♀ 1.RR 0.3 (0.1-0.5) 
Non estrogen ♀: 17% at 5 y 2.HRT-VTE vs non-HRT VTE ♀ 2.RR 0.7 (0.3-1.5) 
Ljungqvist et al 2014 (59) Prospective follow-up of case control study Estrogen-VTE: 2% pa Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ HR 0.57 (0.36-0.9) 
Non estrogen ♀: 3.2% pa aHR 0.7 (0.43-1.20) 
Kearon et al 2015 (29) Prospective clinical management Non-estrogen ♀: 5.4% PPY Men, nonestrogen ♀, estrogen ♀ N/R (P = .001 for the 3–group comparison) 
Estrogen ♀: 0.0% PPY 
All had persistent negative D-dimer at end of AC and off AC 
Rodger et al 2017 (18) Prospective clinical management Low HERDOO2 stopping AC; <50 y: N/R N/R 
Estrogen-VTE: 1.4%/100 PY 
Nonestrogen ♀: 3.1%/100 PY 
Kiconco et al 2017 (60) Retrospective population-based cohort study Hormone-VTE: 37/1000 PY 1.Hormone-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 1. aHR 0.72 (0.58-0.88) 
Non hormone ♀: 51/1000 PY 2. OC-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 2. aHR 0.71 (0.52-0.96) 
3. HRT-VTE vs unprovoked ♀ 3. aHR 0.71 (0.53-0.95) 

Low HERDOO2 risk: ≤1 HERDOO2 criteria (hyperpigmentation, edema, or redness in either leg; D-dimer level ≥ 250 μg/L; obesity with body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2; or older age, ≥ 65 years).

AC, anticoagulation; aHR, adjusted hazard ratio; CHC, combined hormonal contraceptives; COC, combined oral contraceptive; EC, estrogen contraceptives (including nonoral formulations); FVL, factor V Leiden polymorphism; Gen, generation; HC, hormonal contraceptive; HR, hazard ratio; HRT, hormone replacement therapy; IR, incidence rate; IRR, incidence rate ratio; N/R, not reported; N/S, not specified; OC, oral contraceptives; pa, per annum; PP, postpartum; PPY, per patient year; PY, person year; RR, risk ratio.

*

COC-VTE: initial VTE occurring in the context of COC.

Recurrence risk modeled using multivariable Cox regression; β coefficient and P value after backward elimination is reported.

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